September 6, 2023

Florida Cross Market Insights Report - August 2023

September 6, 2023
Florida Cross Market Insights Report - August 2023

Entera's latest Florida Cross Market Insights Report for August 2023 is now available. Here is a high level overview of current market conditions for Florida, including Jacksonville, Orlando and Tampa.

In summary, over the past month in JAX, ORL, and TPA, active listings have begun to stabilize, with both listings and closings experiencing a decline across these markets. In all three markets, average sale prices saw a decline in Q1 2023, but have since rebounded to match the levels of Q4 2022. After bottoming out in Q1, the Average Sale to Original List (STOL) prices have recovered to an average of 97.5%. Offers should be around 95% OTL to be seriously considered. New listings (i.e. properties that have been on the market for less than 30 days) have seen minimal growth over the past few months. Furthermore, older listings (i.e. properties that have been on the market for more than 60 days) have decreased every quarter since Q4 2022 across all three markets. While pricing has decreased this year, offsetting most of last year's HPA gains, average house prices remain largely out of reach for the typical household. This is because pricing is still close to record highs and interest rates have continued to climb well into the 7% range.

After increasing in the first half of 2023, active listings, closings, and new listings all began to decline in July. Notably, closings dropped by almost 9% in June.

Since reaching highs in Q3 2022, active listings, closings, and new listings in Orlando have stabilized. Historically, this pattern tends to occur at the tail end of the summer in Orlando.

Similar to Orlando, Tampa has observed active inventory, closings, and new listings stabilize.

Absorption Rate Comparison

Since May, average p.s.f. list prices have increased significantly while average sale prices p.s.f. have remained flat. A year ago, average sale prices p.s.f. were roughly $2 off from average list prices p.s.f. Currently, that gap is now more than $12.

From June 2022 to February 2023, sale prices in Orlando decreased monthly, resulting in a difference of more than 5% between sales and list prices p.s.f. However, with the list prices p.s.f. decreasing over the recent two months, this gap has narrowed to 2.5%.

Sale prices in Tampa reached their peak in July 2022 at $220 p.s.f., only to fall to a low of $203 by February 2023. Since then, while the average list prices p.s.f. have seen a minor decrease, the average sale prices p.s.f. have risen.

Properties had  been selling at a 4-6% discount from original list price since November 2022. Recently the STOLs across all three markets have climbed to an average slightly over 97%.

Interested in learning more about Entera and our Market Insights reports?

Click here to request a consultation with our experts.